Research
November 07, 2024

Monetary Policy

Federal Reserve Cuts Short-Term Rates for the Second Straight Meeting
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced short-term interest rates by 25 basis points during its November 6–7 meeting, marking the second consecutive rate cut. Previously, the federal funds rate had climbed to a range of 5.25% to 5.50% following its July 2023 meeting due to significant pricing pressures and supply chain disruptions. A preceding 50-basis-point cut at the September 17–18 meeting set the stage for this latest reduction, resulting in a new rate range of 4.50% to 4.75%. Notably, further rate reductions are anticipated, with a 25-basis-point cut expected at the December 17–18 meeting.

The FOMC statement highlighted ongoing economic growth in the U.S., with a robust labor market despite some cooling. While inflation is reportedly making progress toward the Fed’s 2% target, it remains somewhat above desired levels.

With its dual mandate to promote price stability and maximum employment, the Federal Reserve sees sufficient headway toward reaching long-term core inflation goals, supporting further normalization of interest rates to encourage economic and employment expansion. Despite the recent cuts, rates remain high enough to address persistent inflationary pressures in the economy. This balance reflects the Fed's approach to sustaining economic momentum while carefully managing inflation risks.

For the restaurant industry, this policy shift offers potential relief and opportunities. Lower interest rates generally translate to reduced borrowing costs, making it easier for businesses to finance expansion, improvements, or new initiatives. At the same time, consumers may benefit from greater access to credit and more discretionary income, potentially boosting spending in hospitality and dining. By signaling further rate reductions, the Fed indicates a cautious optimism, aiming to maintain economic momentum while carefully watching inflationary trends. This trajectory could stimulate investment and demand, benefiting sectors like restaurants that rely on consumer confidence and spending.

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